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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Sandhagen vs Taylor Lapilus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record25-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'6"
70"Reach73"
140 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cory SandhagenNow 1754
If they win+12→ 1766
If they lose-12→ 1742
Taylor LapilusNow 1756
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1777 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.86
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
45%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
57%
Strike defense
63%
1.15
Takedown avg.
0.27
35%
Takedown accuracy
33%
56%
Takedown defense
77%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Cory SandhagenTaylor Lapilus
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
3 (17%)
Submission
6 (24%)
7 (39%)
Decision
14 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Cory Sandhagen60%
Taylor Lapilus 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cory Sandhagen a 60% favorite over Taylor Lapilus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Taylor Lapilus's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1756), separated by just 2 points.

Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.

Taylor Lapilus carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.