Cory Sandhagen vs TJ Dillashaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'6"
70"Reach67"
140 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamThe Treigning Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1765
If they lose-12→ 1741
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1775 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cory SandhagenTJ Dillashaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cory Sandhagen72%
TJ Dillashaw 28%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Cory Sandhagen a 72% favorite over TJ Dillashaw in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans TJ Dillashaw's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1753 vs 1763), separated by just 10 points.
Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.
Cory Sandhagen carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.