Cory Walmsley vs David Heath
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record18-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight203 lbs
Team BisonTeamAbsolute Combat Alliance
What's at stake
David Heath is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cory Walmsley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+31→ 1601
If they lose-17→ 1553
If they win+11→ 1687
If they lose-21→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cory WalmsleyDavid Heath
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Heath66%
Cory Walmsley 34%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes David Heath a 66% favorite over Cory Walmsley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
David Heath holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1676 to 1570, a 106-point edge.
David Heath enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cory Walmsley finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, David Heath 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.