Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Walmsley vs Mahamed Aly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record5-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team BisonTeamOne Way Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cory WalmsleyNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
Mahamed AlyNow 1568
If they win+24→ 1592
If they lose-24→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
100%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cory WalmsleyMahamed Aly
155016002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
5 (63%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Mahamed Aly60%
Cory Walmsley 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mahamed Aly a 60% favorite over Cory Walmsley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cory Walmsley's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1568), separated by just 2 points.

Cory Walmsley finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mahamed Aly 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.