AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Walmsley vs Vinicius Moreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record12-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team BisonTeamFive Rounds

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cory WalmsleyNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
Vinicius MoreiraNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.79
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
100%
Strike accuracy
59%
1.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
50%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
1.97
Not available
Takedown accuracy
19%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Cory WalmsleyVinicius Moreira
15501600200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
5 (63%)
Submission
10 (83%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Vinicius Moreira52%
Cory Walmsley 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Vinicius Moreira a 52% favorite over Cory Walmsley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cory Walmsley's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1566), separated by just 4 points.

Cory Walmsley finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Moreira 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.