Combat Edge Intelligence

Costas Philippou vs Francis Carmont

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record25-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Costas Philippou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Francis Carmont carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Costas PhilippouNow 1681
If they win+14→ 1695
If they lose-18→ 1663
Francis CarmontNow 1644
If they win+13→ 1657
If they lose-11→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.19
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
35%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
54%
Strike defense
59%
0.40
Takedown avg.
1.79
43%
Takedown accuracy
37%
66%
Takedown defense
73%
0.27
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Costas PhilippouFrancis Carmont
165017002013201420152016

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
1 (8%)
Submission
11 (44%)
5 (38%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Costas Philippou60%
Francis Carmont 40%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Costas Philippou a 60% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Costas Philippou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1644, a 37-point edge.

Costas Philippou finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Francis Carmont 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.