Costas Philippou vs Luke Rockhold
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record16-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Luke Rockhold is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Costas Philippou carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1700
If they lose-13→ 1668
If they win+13→ 1755
If they lose-19→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Costas PhilippouLuke Rockhold
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Rockhold60%
Costas Philippou 40%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Rockhold a 60% favorite over Costas Philippou in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Luke Rockhold holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1681, a 61-point edge.
Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Costas Philippou finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Luke Rockhold 88%.
Costas Philippou and Luke Rockhold share 1 common opponent: Tim Boetsch.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.