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Combat Edge Intelligence

Costas Philippou vs Matěj Peňáz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach83"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamReinders MMA· 1607 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Costas PhilippouNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Matěj PeňázNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1696 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.19
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
35%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
0.40
Takedown avg.
Not available
43%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
66%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.27
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Costas PhilippouMatěj Peňáz
1650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
10 (91%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (38%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Costas Philippou and Matěj Peňáz within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.

Matěj Peňáz enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Costas Philippou finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Matěj Peňáz 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.