Combat Edge Intelligence

Costas Philippou vs Nick Catone

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Catone
us

Nick Catone

“The Jersey Devil”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Costas Philippou is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Nick Catone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Costas PhilippouNow 1681
If they win+13→ 1694
If they lose-19→ 1662
Nick CatoneNow 1619
If they win+19→ 1638
If they lose-13→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.19
Sig. strikes / min
2.11
35%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
54%
Strike defense
63%
0.40
Takedown avg.
3.71
43%
Takedown accuracy
44%
66%
Takedown defense
83%
0.27
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Costas PhilippouNick Catone
1600165017002012201320142015

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (30%)
5 (38%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Costas Philippou60%
Nick Catone 40%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Costas Philippou a 60% favorite over Nick Catone in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Costas Philippou holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1619, a 62-point edge.

Costas Philippou finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Nick Catone 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.