Combat Edge Intelligence

Costello van Steenis vs Jason Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Jackson
jm

Jason Jackson

“The Ass-Kicking Machine”

20-6-0MiddleweightMVP

1755Great

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight182 lbs
MMA VlaardingenTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Costello van SteenisNow 1752
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
Jason JacksonNow 1755
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Costello van SteenisJason Jackson
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
8 (47%)
Submission
4 (20%)
3 (18%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Costello van Steenis59%
Jason Jackson 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Costello van Steenis a 59% favorite over Jason Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Jackson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1752 vs 1755), separated by just 3 points.

Costello van Steenis enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Costello van Steenis finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Jason Jackson 55%.

Costello van Steenis and Jason Jackson share 1 common opponent: Douglas Lima.

Jason Jackson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2023
Douglas Lima
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022