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Combat Edge Intelligence

Costello van Steenis vs Ronaldo Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record26-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Vlaardingen· 1652 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1623 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Costello van SteenisNow 1752
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
Ronaldo SouzaNow 1749
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.53
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.57
Not available
Takedown accuracy
39%
Not available
Takedown defense
58%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.34

Trajectory

Costello van SteenisRonaldo Souza
17001750180020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
8 (47%)
Submission
14 (54%)
3 (18%)
Decision
4 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Costello van Steenis59%
Ronaldo Souza 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Costello van Steenis a 59% favorite over Ronaldo Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1752 vs 1749), separated by just 3 points.

Costello van Steenis enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ronaldo Souza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Costello van Steenis finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Souza 85%.

Costello van Steenis carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.