Combat Edge Intelligence

Coty Wheeler vs Neto Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Coty WheelerNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Neto LopesNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.88
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
23%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
0.87
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.62
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Coty WheelerNeto Lopes
1550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
10 (71%)
Submission
1 (20%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Neto Lopes63%
Coty Wheeler 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Neto Lopes a 63% favorite over Coty Wheeler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1586), separated by just 3 points.

Coty Wheeler enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Coty Wheeler finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Neto Lopes 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.