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Combat Edge Intelligence

Coty Wheeler vs Neto Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Coty WheelerNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Neto LopesNow 1585
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.88
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
23%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
60%
Strike defense
Not available
0.87
Takedown avg.
Not available
38%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
2.62
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Coty WheelerNeto Lopes
1550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
10 (71%)
Submission
1 (20%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Coty Wheeler and Neto Lopes within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1585), separated by just 1 points.

Coty Wheeler enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Coty Wheeler finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Neto Lopes 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.