Combat Edge Intelligence

Court McGee vs Jon Manley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Court McGee
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Court McGee

“The Crusher”

22-14-0WelterweightUFC

1600Solid

Tale of the tape

22-14-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Link

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Court McGeeNow 1600
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Jon ManleyNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.60
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
37%
Strike accuracy
20%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
61%
Strike defense
46%
1.87
Takedown avg.
1
26%
Takedown accuracy
8%
70%
Takedown defense
20%
0.47
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Court McGeeJon Manley
160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (23%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (27%)
Submission
6 (46%)
11 (50%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Jon Manley63%
Court McGee 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jon Manley a 63% favorite over Court McGee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Court McGee's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Jon Manley enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jon Manley 46%.

Court McGee and Jon Manley share 1 common opponent: Jeremiah Wells.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO · 2022
Jeremiah Wells
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2018