Court McGee vs Josh Neer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-15-0Record36-16-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Josh Neer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Court McGee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1597
If they lose-10→ 1573
If they win+10→ 1657
If they lose-14→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Court McGeeJosh Neer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Court McGee64%
Josh Neer 36%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Court McGee a 64% favorite over Josh Neer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Neer's way (41%).
Josh Neer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1583, a 64-point edge.
Court McGee enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Josh Neer 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.