Court McGee vs Michael Chiesa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-14-0Record20-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamSikjitsu
What's at stake
Michael Chiesa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Court McGee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1617
If they lose-7→ 1593
If they win+7→ 1765
If they lose-17→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Court McGeeMichael Chiesa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Chiesa86%
Court McGee 14%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chiesa a 86% favorite over Court McGee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Michael Chiesa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1600, a 158-point edge.
Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chiesa 65%.
Court McGee and Michael Chiesa share 1 common opponent: Sean Brady.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.