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Combat Edge Intelligence

Court McGee vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Court McGee
us

Court McGee

“The Crusher”

22-15-0WelterweightUFC

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

22-15-0Record30-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Santiago Ponzinibbio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Court McGee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Court McGeeNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-8→ 1575
Santiago PonzinibbioNow 1698
If they win+8→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
37%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
61%
Strike defense
62%
1.78
Takedown avg.
0.60
16%
Takedown accuracy
12%
71%
Takedown defense
71%
0.45
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Court McGeeSantiago Ponzinibbio
16001650170020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (23%)
KO/TKO
17 (57%)
6 (27%)
Submission
6 (20%)
11 (50%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Ponzinibbio77%
Court McGee 23%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Ponzinibbio a 77% favorite over Court McGee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Santiago Ponzinibbio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1583, a 115-point edge.

Court McGee enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.

Court McGee and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 1 common opponent: Alex Morono.

Court McGee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Alex Morono
WinKO · 2022