Court McGee vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-14-0Record30-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Santiago Ponzinibbio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Court McGee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-8→ 1592
If they win+8→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Court McGeeSantiago Ponzinibbio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Santiago Ponzinibbio72%
Court McGee 28%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Ponzinibbio a 72% favorite over Court McGee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Santiago Ponzinibbio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1600, a 112-point edge.
Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.
Court McGee and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 1 common opponent: Alex Morono.
Court McGee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.