Court McGee vs Tracy Reeder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-14-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"Reach73.5"
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Factory XTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Court McGeeTracy Reeder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tracy Reeder70%
Court McGee 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tracy Reeder a 70% favorite over Court McGee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.
Tracy Reeder enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Reeder 92%.
Court McGee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.