Combat Edge Intelligence

Crafton Wallace vs Martin Kampmann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record20-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
Inferno MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Martin Kampmann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Crafton Wallace carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Crafton WallaceNow 1593
If they win+18→ 1611
If they lose-14→ 1579
Martin KampmannNow 1634
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-18→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
19%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.28
48%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
1.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
41%
43%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
2.05

Trajectory

Crafton WallaceMartin Kampmann
160016502010201120122013

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
9 (50%)
Submission
6 (32%)
1 (6%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Kampmann78%
Crafton Wallace 22%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Kampmann a 78% favorite over Crafton Wallace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Martin Kampmann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1593, a 41-point edge.

Crafton Wallace enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Martin Kampmann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Crafton Wallace finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Martin Kampmann 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.