Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Pérez vs Dakota Bush

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record17-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamThe Smith Pit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristian PérezNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Dakota BushNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.42
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.40
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cristian PérezDakota Bush
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
6 (40%)
Submission
6 (35%)
3 (20%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Dakota Bush70%
Cristian Pérez 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Bush a 70% favorite over Cristian Pérez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1707), separated by just 3 points.

Cristian Pérez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dakota Bush enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Cristian Pérez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Dakota Bush 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.