Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Pérez vs Drew Dober

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record29-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72"Reach70″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristian PérezNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Drew DoberNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
58%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Cristian PérezDrew Dober
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
17 (59%)
6 (40%)
Submission
5 (17%)
3 (20%)
Decision
7 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristian Pérez71%
Drew Dober 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristian Pérez a 71% favorite over Drew Dober in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1701), separated by just 3 points.

Cristian Pérez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cristian Pérez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Drew Dober 76%.

Cristian Pérez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.