Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Quiñonez vs Rafael Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record15-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
70"Reach67.5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamFortuna Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristian QuiñonezNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Rafael PereiraNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
40%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
1.37
Takedown avg.
Not available
38%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
84%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cristian QuiñonezRafael Pereira
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
3 (16%)
Submission
5 (33%)
6 (32%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristian Quiñonez65%
Rafael Pereira 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristian Quiñonez a 65% favorite over Rafael Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1656), separated by just 0 points.

Rafael Pereira enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Cristian Quiñonez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Pereira 53%.

Cristian Quiñonez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.