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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Quiñonez vs Raoni Barcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record22-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamLaerte Barcelos Team

What's at stake

Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cristian Quiñonez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristian QuiñonezNow 1655
If they win+21→ 1676
If they lose-11→ 1644
Raoni BarcelosNow 1759
If they win+9→ 1768
If they lose-15→ 1744

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
40%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
55%
Strike defense
61%
1.37
Takedown avg.
2.51
38%
Takedown accuracy
3%
84%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Cristian QuiñonezRaoni Barcelos
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
3 (16%)
Submission
3 (14%)
6 (32%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Raoni Barcelos65%
Cristian Quiñonez 35%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 65% favorite over Cristian Quiñonez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1655, a 104-point edge.

Cristian Quiñonez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.

Cristian Quiñonez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.