Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Quiñonez vs Raoni Barcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamLaerte Barcelos Team

What's at stake

Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cristian Quiñonez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristian QuiñonezNow 1656
If they win+21→ 1677
If they lose-11→ 1645
Raoni BarcelosNow 1780
If they win+11→ 1791
If they lose-21→ 1759

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
40%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
55%
Strike defense
61%
1.37
Takedown avg.
2.22
38%
Takedown accuracy
31%
84%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Cristian QuiñonezRaoni Barcelos
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
3 (16%)
Submission
3 (14%)
6 (32%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Raoni Barcelos71%
Cristian Quiñonez 29%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 71% favorite over Cristian Quiñonez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1656, a 124-point edge.

Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Cristian Quiñonez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.

Cristian Quiñonez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.