Cristiano Marcello vs Joe Proctor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach72,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CM SystemTeamTeam Aggression
What's at stake
Joe Proctor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Cristiano Marcello carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1587
If they lose-15→ 1555
If they win+15→ 1611
If they lose-17→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cristiano MarcelloJoe Proctor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Proctor64%
Cristiano Marcello 36%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Proctor a 64% favorite over Cristiano Marcello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Joe Proctor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1596 to 1570, a 26-point edge.
Cristiano Marcello enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Proctor enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cristiano Marcello finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Joe Proctor 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.