Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Marcello vs Reza Madadi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Reza Madadi

Reza Madadi

“Mad Dog”

14-6-0LightweightUFC

1645Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CM SystemTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Reza Madadi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cristiano Marcello carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristiano MarcelloNow 1570
If they win+19→ 1589
If they lose-13→ 1557
Reza MadadiNow 1645
If they win+13→ 1658
If they lose-19→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
2.51
34%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
58%
Strike defense
67%
0.57
Takedown avg.
3.17
12%
Takedown accuracy
34%
20%
Takedown defense
89%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Cristiano MarcelloReza Madadi
1550160016501700201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
9 (69%)
Submission
8 (62%)
2 (15%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Reza Madadi70%
Cristiano Marcello 30%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Reza Madadi a 70% favorite over Cristiano Marcello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Reza Madadi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1570, a 75-point edge.

Cristiano Marcello enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Reza Madadi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cristiano Marcello finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Reza Madadi 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.