Cristiano Marcello vs Sam Sicilia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record18-11-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach67,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cristiano MarcelloSam Sicilia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Sicilia65%
Cristiano Marcello 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Sicilia a 65% favorite over Cristiano Marcello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1572), separated by just 2 points.
Cristiano Marcello enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cristiano Marcello finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Sam Sicilia 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.