Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Joao Pierini

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight170 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamTeam JM

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+25→ 1499
If they lose-23→ 1451
Joao PieriniNow 1482
If they win+23→ 1505
If they lose-25→ 1457

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.76
TBD
Strike accuracy
14%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.56
TBD
Strike defense
33%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraJoao Pierini
1500200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira68%
Joao Pierini 32%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 68% favorite over Joao Pierini in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joao Pierini's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1482), separated by just 8 points.

Joao Pierini 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.