Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Joey Gilbert

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record2-3-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'5"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight154 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamGilbert Grappling

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450
Joey GilbertNow 1473
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.61
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.44
TBD
Strike defense
31%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraJoey Gilbert
145015002002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
2 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira72%
Joey Gilbert 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 72% favorite over Joey Gilbert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1473), separated by just 1 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.