Cristiano Oliveira vs Marcos Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record2-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"HeightTBD
70"Reach45.00
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamTeam Nogueira Porto Alegre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1499
If they lose-23→ 1451
If they win+23→ 1508
If they lose-25→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cristiano OliveiraMarcos Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cristiano Oliveira61%
Marcos Rosa 39%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 61% favorite over Marcos Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Rosa's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1485), separated by just 11 points.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.