Cristiano Oliveira vs Ousmane Thomas Diagne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record6-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450
If they win+16→ 1495
If they lose-16→ 1463
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cristiano OliveiraOusmane Thomas Diagne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cristiano Oliveira73%
Ousmane Thomas Diagne 27%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 73% favorite over Ousmane Thomas Diagne in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ousmane Thomas Diagne's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1479), separated by just 5 points.
Ousmane Thomas Diagne enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ousmane Thomas Diagne 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.