Cristiano Oliveira vs Rob Emerson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record21-15-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight135 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450
If they win+16→ 1492
If they lose-16→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cristiano OliveiraRob Emerson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cristiano Oliveira70%
Rob Emerson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 70% favorite over Rob Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rob Emerson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1476), separated by just 2 points.
Rob Emerson 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.