Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Rodrigo de Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record9-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight170 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450
Rodrigo de LimaNow 1468
If they win+24→ 1492
If they lose-24→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.29
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.50
TBD
Strike defense
33%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.66
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.33

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraRodrigo de Lima
14501500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (78%)
1 (50%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristiano Oliveira72%
Rodrigo de Lima 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 72% favorite over Rodrigo de Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1468), separated by just 6 points.

Rodrigo de Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rodrigo de Lima 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.