Cristiano Oliveira vs Sean Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record40-31-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach67"
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamPremier Combat Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450
If they win+12→ 1491
If they lose-12→ 1467
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1477 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cristiano OliveiraSean Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cristiano Oliveira75%
Sean Wilson 25%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 75% favorite over Sean Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean Wilson's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1479), separated by just 5 points.
Sean Wilson 95%.
Cristiano Oliveira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.