Crosley Gracie vs Gael Grimaud
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record21-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
180 lbsWeight185 lbs
Crosley Gracie BJJTeamCoq Batay
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Crosley GracieGael Grimaud
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Crosley Gracie61%
Gael Grimaud 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Crosley Gracie a 61% favorite over Gael Grimaud in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gael Grimaud's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1536), separated by just 3 points.
Crosley Gracie enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gael Grimaud enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gael Grimaud 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.