Combat Edge Intelligence

Crosley Gracie vs Marek Bartl

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record17-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
180 lbsWeight179 lbs
Crosley Gracie BJJTeamJiuJitsu Academy Bratislava

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Crosley GracieNow 1533
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
Marek BartlNow 1527
If they win+12→ 1539
If they lose-12→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Crosley GracieMarek Bartl
14501500155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
1 (50%)
Submission
6 (35%)
1 (50%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Marek Bartl60%
Crosley Gracie 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Marek Bartl a 60% favorite over Crosley Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Crosley Gracie's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1527), separated by just 6 points.

Crosley Gracie enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marek Bartl 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.