Combat Edge Intelligence

Crosley Gracie vs Steven Hill

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steven Hill
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Steven Hill

“The Hillbilly Hammer”

7-4-0MiddleweightCWFC

1540Average

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
180 lbsWeight185 lbs
Crosley Gracie BJJTeamNovo BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Crosley GracieNow 1533
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
Steven HillNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Crosley GracieSteven Hill
15501600165020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (50%)
Submission
3 (43%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Hill59%
Crosley Gracie 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Hill a 59% favorite over Crosley Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1540), separated by just 7 points.

Crosley Gracie enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Steven Hill enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Steven Hill 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.