Cub Swanson vs Daniel Pineda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record28-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeam4oz. Fight Club
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Daniel Pineda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1755
If they lose-17→ 1731
If they win+17→ 1610
If they lose-7→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonDaniel Pineda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson84%
Daniel Pineda 16%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 84% favorite over Daniel Pineda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1593, a 155-point edge.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Pineda 100%.
Cub Swanson and Daniel Pineda share 1 common opponent: Darren Elkins.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.