Cub Swanson vs Frankie Edgar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record24-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach 68"
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Frankie Edgar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1758
If they lose-14→ 1734
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-10→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonFrankie Edgar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson72%
Frankie Edgar 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 72% favorite over Frankie Edgar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1692, a 56-point edge.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Frankie Edgar 46%.
Cub Swanson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.