Combat Edge Intelligence

Cub Swanson vs George Roop

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cub Swanson
us

Cub Swanson

“Killer”

31-14-0FeatherweightUFC

1748Good

Tale of the tape

31-14-0Record15-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height6'1"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeamApex MMA

What's at stake

Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — George Roop carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cub SwansonNow 1748
If they win+5→ 1753
If they lose-19→ 1729
George RoopNow 1533
If they win+19→ 1552
If they lose-5→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.79
Sig. strikes / min
3.43
51%
Strike accuracy
34%
4
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
59%
Strike defense
61%
1.01
Takedown avg.
1.05
50%
Takedown accuracy
57%
64%
Takedown defense
60%
0.39
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Cub SwansonGeorge Roop
160017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (48%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
4 (13%)
Submission
4 (27%)
12 (39%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Cub Swanson88%
George Roop 12%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 88% favorite over George Roop in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1533, a 215-point edge.

Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

George Roop enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, George Roop 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.