Cub Swanson vs Hacran Dias
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record29-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight162 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Hacran Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1752
If they lose-18→ 1728
If they win+18→ 1580
If they lose-6→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonHacran Dias
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson81%
Hacran Dias 19%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 81% favorite over Hacran Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1562, a 184-point edge.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Hacran Dias 48%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.