Cub Swanson vs Hakeem Dawodu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record13-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeamChampion's Creed MMA
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Hakeem Dawodu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1758
If they lose-14→ 1734
If they win+19→ 1710
If they lose-13→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonHakeem Dawodu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson57%
Hakeem Dawodu 43%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 57% favorite over Hakeem Dawodu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1691, a 57-point edge.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Hakeem Dawodu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Hakeem Dawodu 54%.
Hakeem Dawodu carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.