Cub Swanson vs Ricardo Lamas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ricardo Lamas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1759
If they lose-13→ 1735
If they win+13→ 1743
If they lose-11→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonRicardo Lamas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson62%
Ricardo Lamas 38%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 62% favorite over Ricardo Lamas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1730, a 18-point edge.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.
Cub Swanson and Ricardo Lamas share 1 common opponent: Darren Elkins.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.