Cub Swanson vs Ross Pearson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record20-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach69,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeamCentral Coast MMA
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1754
If they lose-18→ 1730
If they win+18→ 1590
If they lose-6→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonRoss Pearson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson84%
Ross Pearson 16%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 84% favorite over Ross Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1572, a 176-point edge.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Ross Pearson 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.