Cub Swanson vs Yair Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeamValle Flow Striking· 1678 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1734
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonYair Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yair Rodriguez56%
Cub Swanson 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Yair Rodriguez a 56% favorite over Cub Swanson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1752), separated by just 6 points.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.