Combat Edge Intelligence

Cung Le vs Donte Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cung Le
us

Cung Le

9-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1684Good

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record9-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight209 lbs
Cung Le's Universal Strength HeadquartersTeamTitletown MMA

What's at stake

Donte Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Cung Le carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cung LeNow 1684
If they win+17→ 1701
If they lose-15→ 1669
Donte JohnsonNow 1707
If they win+22→ 1729
If they lose-26→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.09
Sig. strikes / min
3.11
42%
Strike accuracy
48%
7.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
67%
Strike defense
62%
0.70
Takedown avg.
2
67%
Takedown accuracy
100%
89%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Cung LeDonte Johnson
1550160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (11%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson84%
Cung Le 16%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 84% favorite over Cung Le in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Donte Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1684, a 23-point edge.

Donte Johnson enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Cung Le finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Donte Johnson 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.