Combat Edge Intelligence

Cung Le vs Donte Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cung Le
us

Cung Le

9-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1684Good

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record8-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight209 lbs
Cung Le's Universal Strength HeadquartersTeamTitletown MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cung LeNow 1684
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
Donte JohnsonNow 1681
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.09
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
42%
Strike accuracy
64%
7.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.87
67%
Strike defense
59%
0.70
Takedown avg.
6.01
67%
Takedown accuracy
100%
89%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Cung LeDonte Johnson
1550160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (13%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson70%
Cung Le 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 70% favorite over Cung Le in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cung Le's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1681), separated by just 3 points.

Donte Johnson enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Cung Le finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Donte Johnson 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.