Curt Warburton vs Joe Lauzon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record28-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
NEVTTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Joe Lauzon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Curt Warburton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1587
If they lose-12→ 1555
If they win+9→ 1658
If they lose-15→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1486 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Curt WarburtonJoe Lauzon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Lauzon63%
Curt Warburton 37%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Lauzon a 63% favorite over Curt Warburton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Joe Lauzon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1567, a 82-point edge.
Curt Warburton finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.
Curt Warburton and Joe Lauzon share 1 common opponent: Stevie Ray.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.