Combat Edge Intelligence

Curt Warburton vs Kyle Prepolec

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record18-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
NEVTTeamMaximum Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Curt WarburtonNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Kyle PrepolecNow 1567
If they win+12→ 1579
If they lose-12→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
42%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.69
43%
Strike defense
49%
2.35
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
83%
Takedown defense
45%
0.94
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Curt WarburtonKyle Prepolec
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
4 (29%)
Submission
4 (22%)
5 (36%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Prepolec59%
Curt Warburton 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Prepolec a 59% favorite over Curt Warburton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Curt Warburton's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1567), separated by just 0 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Curt Warburton finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.