Combat Edge Intelligence

Curtis Blaydes vs Daniel Omielanczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record26-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
80"Reach74,0"
256 lbsWeight254 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Daniel Omielanczuk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Curtis BlaydesNow 1768
If they win+7→ 1775
If they lose-17→ 1751
Daniel OmielanczukNow 1614
If they win+17→ 1631
If they lose-7→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
51%
Strike accuracy
57%
2
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
59%
Strike defense
48%
5.38
Takedown avg.
0.56
49%
Takedown accuracy
27%
32%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Curtis BlaydesDaniel Omielanczuk
16001650170017501800202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (68%)
KO/TKO
6 (23%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (38%)
6 (32%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Curtis Blaydes88%
Daniel Omielanczuk 12%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 88% favorite over Daniel Omielanczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1614, a 154-point edge.

Curtis Blaydes finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Omielanczuk 62%.

Curtis Blaydes carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.