Curtis Blaydes vs Evgeny Goncharov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record24-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80"Reach-
256 lbsWeight266 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamRaty Team· 1670 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
If they win+12→ 1784
If they lose-12→ 1760
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Curtis BlaydesEvgeny Goncharov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes70%
Evgeny Goncharov 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 70% favorite over Evgeny Goncharov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1772), separated by just 9 points.
Evgeny Goncharov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Curtis Blaydes finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Evgeny Goncharov 42%.
Curtis Blaydes and Evgeny Goncharov share 1 common opponent: Jailton Almeida.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.