Curtis Blaydes vs Ivan Shtyrkov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record23-2-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
80"ReachTBD
256 lbsWeight237 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamArchangel Michael Club· 1771 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
If they win+12→ 1802
If they lose-12→ 1778
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Curtis BlaydesIvan Shtyrkov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes68%
Ivan Shtyrkov 32%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 68% favorite over Ivan Shtyrkov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ivan Shtyrkov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1790), separated by just 9 points.
Curtis Blaydes finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Shtyrkov 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.