Curtis Blaydes vs Jailton Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"Reach79"
256 lbsWeight241 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamGalpao da Luta· 1695 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1780
If they lose-12→ 1756
If they win+16→ 1787
If they lose-16→ 1755
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Curtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida56%
Curtis Blaydes 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 56% favorite over Curtis Blaydes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1768 vs 1771), separated by just 3 points.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Curtis Blaydes finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Jailton Almeida 95%.
Curtis Blaydes and Jailton Almeida share 3 common opponents: Rizvan Kuniev, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Derrick Lewis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2021
WinSubmission · 2023