Curtis Blaydes vs Jailton Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record22-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"Reach79"
256 lbsWeight241 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamGalpao da Luta· 1679 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jailton Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1792
If they lose-13→ 1768
If they win+13→ 1768
If they lose-11→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Curtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes56%
Jailton Almeida 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 56% favorite over Jailton Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1755, a 26-point edge.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Curtis Blaydes finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Jailton Almeida 95%.
Curtis Blaydes and Jailton Almeida share 2 common opponents: Rizvan Kuniev and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2021
WinSubmission · 2023